Source: AME, India’s Five Year Plans, India Infrastructure Report and Economic Survey of India
India
India's GDP expanded 7.2% in FY 2010 and is
forecasted to grow between 7.5–8.5% in FY
2011. The acceleration of growth will be
driven by favourable domestic structural
factors coupled with strong foreign capital
inflows and global cyclical uplift. The
structural foundation of India's economic
growth remains intact. The acceleration in
infrastructure spending will be a key driver
of elevated GDP growth.
While India has become more integrated with
the rest of the world, its export-to-GDP ratio
remains lower than those of other Asian
countries. India's total exports account for
around 20–22% of GDP compared with
anywhere between 40–60% for other Asian
economies including China, Korea and Taiwan.
India is therefore less exposed to a slump in
external demand. The Eleventh Five Year
Plan (2007–12) and Twelfth Five Year Plan
(2012–17) of the Government of India
provides for a total infrastructure spend
from the government and the private sector
of nearly US$500 billion and US$1,000
billion respectively in several areas including
power, roads, railways and telecom. India's
per capita metal consumption is
comparatively much lower than that in
developed countries and coupled with a
huge infrastructure spend plan indicates a
strong growth potential.
We believe these positive factors will enable
us to continue to sell a majority of our metal
production in India, where we realise a
premium over the LME.